PRESIDENT'S MESSAGE
November 2011

Greg Johnson, President & CEO President’s Message
This past quarter has been a period of increased volatility in
the global markets with concerns about the European debt crisis and the US
economy. Trading volumes have been seasonally low contributing to this
volatility in the North American markets. However, South American Silver has
continued to move forward with our project development plan at both our Malku
Khota silver-indium-gallium project and the Escalones copper-silver-gold
project in Bolivia and Chile, respectively.
At the Malku Khota silver-indium-gallium project,
engineering activities are in progress to refine the metallurgical
characteristics of the deposit to a pre-feasibility level, and optimization
studies are underway to further increase estimated production levels. Camp
construction plans to support expanded project development activities at Malku
Khota are currently in progress to support a significant drill campaign of
in-fill and expansion work.
Earlier in 2011, the Company announced results from an
updated Preliminary Economic Assessment ("PEA”) for the Malku Khota
silver-indium-gallium project. Results of the PEA more than doubled estimated
mine production levels from the 2009 PEA to 13.2 million ounces of silver per
year for the first 5 years of production, at a cash cost of U.S.$2.94 per ounce
net of by-product credits at "base case” 3 year average metal prices, putting
it in the lower quartile of producer costs. Additionally it more than doubled
indium production to 80 tonnes of indium per year and reported the first
projected production figures for gallium at 15 tonnes per year. With further
resource optimization there remains excellent potential to extend the mine life
beyond 15 years.
The report showed robust economic results with Pre-tax NPV
of U.S.$704 million and IRR of 37.7% at conservative "base case” metal prices
of U.S.$18.00/oz silver, and U.S.$500/kg indium at a 5% discount rate. At the
"middle price case” of U.S.$25.00/oz silver the NPV at 5% increases to
U.S.$1.536 billion with an IRR of 64.3%, and at current prices of U.S.$35/oz
silver, the NPV at 5% increases to U.S.$2.571 billion. On a cash flow basis,
the first 5 years increased to average U.S.$185 million per year at the base
case, to U.S.$287 million per year at the middle case and to U.S.$430 million
per year for the recent price case.
In addition to the updated PEA, the Company announced an
updated resource estimate for the Malku Khota project expanding Measured and
Indicated resources by 60% to 230 million ounces of silver with an additional
Inferred resource of 140 million ounces of silver. In addition to the increased
silver content, the updated resource estimate also included a Measured and
Indicated resource of 1,481 tonnes of indium and 1,082 tonnes of gallium, plus
935 tonnes of indium and 1,001 tonnes of gallium in the Inferred category.
Also during the third quarter the Company commenced work on
an initial resource estimate at the Escalones copper-silver-gold project based
on the exploration program undertaken earlier in the year and all historic work
to date on the project. In addition a program of re-logging and re-sampling of
previously drilled holes along with re-interpretation of IP and SP geophysics
was completed for the development of additional drill targets in the next phase
of work. Preparations are also underway to complete a deep penetrating ZTEM
geophysical survey in November on the project designed to assist in mapping and
targeting of the porphyry related mineralization. Final preparations are being
made for a drill program to expand resource on the project in Q4-2011.
Approach to business
South American Silver Corp.’s growth strategy has been to
identify mineral properties that have significant scale potential to develop
large resources in well established mining districts of Bolivia and Chile.
Management looks to leverage its exploration and development expertise to bring
additional resources and value to shareholders and to reduce development risk
and expense through its focus on community relations and corporate social
responsibility. The Company will continue to look for additional opportunities that
can bring value to South American Silver’s shareholders through its approach to
business. Responsible mining and community collaboration are a key part of
South American Silver’s business strategy on its projects, where the Company is
committed to upholding high environmental and social standards while focusing
on delivering the financial growth its shareholders expect.
As part of the Company’s ongoing community relations
approach to Malku Khota, community relations personnel are working closely with
the surrounding local communities. The Company will look to facilitate local
and regional economic development through the various stages of project
development.
As part of the Company’s ongoing community relations
approach to Malku Khota, community relations personnel are working closely with
the surrounding local communities. The Company will look to facilitate local
and regional economic development through the various stages of project
development.
Current market and economic conditions
Though the precious metals markets have experienced
noteworthy volatility through late summer and into the fall along with the
general markets, recent prices have shown good relative strength and support
for silver in the U.S.$35/oz range. Silver saw highs to the mid-U.S.$40/oz
level in August and September with a correction to below U.S.$30/oz just one
month later but has traded back into the mid-U.S.$30/oz range entering November
(more than 70% higher compared to October 2010). Gold has seen its own swings
in price surging to record highs of nearly U.S.$1900/oz in September (a nearly
125% increase from its 1980 nominal high of U.S.$850/oz) then briefly
correcting to just below U.S.$1600/oz, before recovering to an average price of
nearly U.S.$1750/oz in October. On an inflation-adjusted basis, silver still
remains well below its highs of U.S.$140/oz in real terms as does gold with its
high from 1980 estimated at U.S.$2350/oz in 2011 dollars.
Since mid 2010, silver has nearly doubled in value,
outperforming gold, which has increased by about 40% over the same period. The
current gold to silver price ratio of 50:1 remains well below its historic
highs of 15-20:1 but is now well off of its 2010 lows in the 60-80:1 range.
The fundamentals for both silver and gold appear strongly
supportive for continued higher prices as Governments continue to combat
economic concerns with stimulus strategies to encourage economic growth and
increase their sovereign debt. Increasingly, investors are returning to hard
assets as a store of value and hedge against inflation and currency devaluation
resulting in increased investment demand is being seen for both silver and gold
in all forms, including Exchange Traded Funds (ETF’s), new physical metal
investment trusts, bars and coins.
For silver specifically, its hybrid nature as both a
precious and industrial metal shows in the significant increases last year in
both investment and industrial demand growth up 40% and 21% respectively.
Industrial demand for silver is closely tied to global economic growth
particularly in developing countries with applications ranging from biomedical
to high technology. Silver appears to have resumed the multi-year trend prior
to the recent global economic crisis of increasing overall industrial demand
and has been accompanied by strong increases in investor demand.
With total demand rising 18% in 2010 and total supply growth
including mining, secondary silver sources and government sales only up 8%,
demand growth considerably outstripped supply. Mining production only rose a
total of 2.5% with by-product silver production from both gold and copper
mining falling in 2010 even with rising silver prices. Total by-product
production of silver from base metal mining is anticipated to decline in coming
years demonstrating that by-product silver production is largely price
inelastic. With anticipated continued growth in industrial use coupled with
strong investment demand, the fundamentals appear to remain positive for higher
silver prices going forward. With one of the largest development stage silver
resources, strong fundamentals and attractive valuation level relative to
peers, South American Silver substantially outperformed both the metals and the
silver and gold equity indexes over the past 18 months.
The indium and gallium market has shown tremendous strength
in 2011 as well, surging from trough pricing during the global economic
slowdown of around U.S.$500/kg to the U.S.$750-U.S.$1000/kg over the past
several months. Recent developments in the indium and gallium markets continue
to present compelling supply/demand dynamics for these high technology metals.
The main usages for indium and gallium are in flat panel
displays and touch screens, high efficiency solar panels and high-efficiency,
long life LED lighting. Global indium and gallium consumption is anticipated to
continue to grow significantly in these rapidly expanding market sectors. In
total, global indium use has grown approximately ten times since 1990.
With one of the largest NI 43-101 qualified resources of
primary indium and gallium, South American Silver is attracting additional
investor interest due to its large exposure to this rapidly growing high
technology driven market.
Base metals have also seen significant volatility in their
prices over the past several months with copper falling from its highs of
nearly U.S.$4.50/lb in July and August toward the U.S.$3.00/lb level in October
with a recent rebound back to U.S.$3.50/lb in early November. Similarly zinc
has fallen from U.S.$1.00/lb toward U.S.$0.80/lb and has rebounded in early
November back toward U.S.$0.90/lb. Recent price fluctuations in base metals
appear to have been driven largely by short term economic concerns and general
market volatility. Long term growth in demand for copper and zinc is likely to
continue to be driven largely by growth in developing economies particularly in
Asia where per capita consumption levels remain well below that of more
developed nations.
With the volatility in the general markets and in
commodities, equities in the sector have also seen significant swings in
valuation over the past 6 months. Silver equities have been particularly so
with the move of the silver price toward its highs of U.S.$50/oz last spring,
the correction toward U.S.$30/oz and recent rebound toward U.S.$35/oz today.
Most silver equities saw consolidation from their spring highs and many small
cap and growth stage companies are below their 200-day moving averages, a level
that has often acted as a significant support level in the on-going bull
market. The larger cap producers have seen a significant rebound from their
lows on the back of strong earnings and the most of the indices with these
larger companies are now back above their 200 day moving averages suggesting
that investment capital is beginning to 3
flow back into the sector. Traditionally late fall and
winter are the strongest seasonalities for the precious metals sector and it
appears that we may be moving into stronger markets toward the end of the year.
South American Silver remains at a very attractive investment valuation levels
compared to many of its silver exploration and development stage peers and
appears to have established a solid base of support at current levels.
Property review
Malku Khota
South American Silver’s most advanced project is the Malku
Khota silver-indium-gallium project located in the world-class silver mining
district of central Bolivia, approximately 200 kilometres north of Potosi.
Malku Khota is one of the world’s large silver, indium and gallium resources.
The updated PEA in early 2011 showed robust economics for a bulk-mineable heap
leach operation with the potential to be one of the largest new silver, indium
and gallium producing mines in development. The project is road-accessible,
with power available within 15 kilometres of site.
The Company has recently expanded the community relations
team under the direction of the Vice President of Operations and Social
Responsibility. The Company anticipates continuing to build on its community
relations team to support bringing the project into feasibility and permitting
stages in 2012. With the acceleration of activities at the project, the
community relations activities have also increased and discussions are underway
with the surrounding communities to look at ways to facilitate local economic
and business development through the various stages of project implementation.
The recent update to the PEA estimated that the construction phase would
facilitate the creation of approximately 1,000 new jobs in the region with over
400 employees needed during operations. For the remainder of 2011 Pre-feasibility
activities will be the focus of work on the project.
Disseminated silver and indium mineralization at Malku Khota
begins at the surface and remains open to further expansion laterally and at
depth in a regionally extensive sandstone unit which continues for over 15
kilometres on the property. To date, only about 30% of the known prospective
mineralized host stratigraphy at Malku Khota has been drill tested. As part of
the pre-feasibility activities, the Company will look to undertake a
significant resource expansion program in addition to infill work designed to
convert inferred resources to measured and indicated resources and eventually
into reserves. That future program will include drilling to test several
additional high-priority, near surface targets based on surface sampling and
geophysics, along with greater step out drilling laterally and to depth from
the known mineralization.
South American Silver continues to refine the metallurgical
characteristics of the deposit through ongoing process-related test work for
the pre-feasibility study to optimize the leach recovery of the silver, indium,
gallium and associated lead, zinc and copper mineralization in both heap leach
and milling options.
Due to the large scale, near surface, bulk mineable nature of
the deposit there remains excellent potential to continue to expand production
levels beyond the 13 million ounces of silver per year level through further
optimization of the resource and increases in overall mine throughput.
Optimization studies to look at further production level increases will be
included as part of the Pre-Feasibility level studies.
During the 3rd quarter ended September 30, 2011,
expenditures at the Malku Khota project totaled approximately U.S.$0.9 million.
Work focused on metallurgical testing, environmental baseline data collection,
community meetings and various engineering optimization studies.
Escalones
The Escalones copper-silver-gold porphyry related project is
located approximately 100 kilometres south-east of Santiago by road in central
Chile. The property is 35 kilometres east of El Teniente, one of the world’s
largest underground copper mines and shows high grades at surface at over 1%
copper with significant silver, gold and molybdenum credits. Exploration has
focused on a large, 4 square kilometre area of alteration, and shallow drilling
has intersected zones of 75 to 100 metres grading over 1% copper and a single
deeper hole intercepted 176 metres of porphyry mineralization grading 0.6%
copper. These grades and significant widths of mineralization indicate the
presence of a strong mineralizing system at Escalones.
At the Escalones project, the Company completed an initial
exploration program in early 2011 including follow-up geochemical sampling,
geophysical interpretation, and re-logging and re-sampling of previously
drilled core holes in connection with the planned issuance of an initial
copper-gold-silver resource at this large scale, high potential porphyry
project in Q4-2011. Also in Q4, a ZTEM deep penetrating geophysical survey is
being carried out to assist in mapping and targeting of the porphyry related
mineralization. A substantial drill program designed to extend zones of known
mineralization and test additional geologic and geophysical targets is planned
to start late in the year based on drill rig availability. A total of
U.S.$88,000 was incurred at the Escalones project in the third quarter on the
exploration program.
Looking Forward
With the completion of the updated resource and Preliminary
Economic Assessment at the Malku Khota project in Q1-2011, the Company has
moved fully into Pre-Feasibility level work which began mid-year. The next
phase of the program will include further engineering and optimization studies,
in-fill confirmatory drilling to confirm the predictability of the geologic
model at the Limosna, Wara Wara and Sucre Zones and to move resources into
reserves with the completion of a pre-feasibility level study on the project.
The Company plans to complete additional resource expansion drilling designed
to test expansion along trend and down dip and potentially continue to expand
the project resources which remain open in all directions. The Company has
budgeted approximately U.S.$16.7 million toward exploration and development
work at Malku Khota during the pre-feasibility phase. 4
At the Escalones project, the Company has completed an
initial exploration program that included follow-up geochemical sampling, and
geophysical interpretation in connection with the planned issuance of an initial
copper-gold-silver resource at this large scale, high potential porphyry
project in Q4-2011. Planning is underway for a substantial drill program
designed to extend zones of known mineralization and test additional geologic
and geophysical targets is planned for later in the year based on drill rig
availability.
In the months ahead, we are committed to reporting on a
number of important project milestones which we believe will broaden
shareholder value as we advance each of our South American projects through the
next stages of development. I would like to thank all of our shareholders for
their continued support, and to also thank our dedicated employees and
management team for their hard work, which has helped position South American
Silver as a leading development stage precious metals company.
Greg S. Johnson
President & CEO
Cautionary Notes
Forward Looking Statements
Forward-looking statements look into the future and provide an opinion as to the effect of certain events and trends on the business. Forward-looking statements may include words such as "plans”, "intends”, "anticipates”, "should”, "estimates”, "expects”, "believes”, "indicates”, "suggests” and similar expressions. This MD&A contains forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based on current expectations and various estimates, factors and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors. Information concerning mineral resource estimates and the interpretation of drill results may also be considered as a forward-looking statement; as such information constitutes a prediction of what mineralization might be found to be present if and when a project is actually developed.
It is important to note that:
Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these statements as the Company's actual results, performance or achievements may differ materially from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements if known or unknown risks, uncertainties or other factors affect the Company's business, or if the Company's estimates or assumptions prove inaccurate. Therefore, the Company cannot provide any assurance that forward-looking statements will materialize. Factors that could cause results or events to differ materially from current expectations expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements, include, but are not limited to, possible variations in mineral resources, grade or recovery rates, silver or indium prices, operating or capital costs; availability of sufficient financing to fund planned or further required work in a timely manner and on acceptable terms; changes in project parameters as plans continue to be refined; failure of equipment or processes to operate as anticipated; and political, regulatory, environmental and other risks of the mining industry.
The material assumptions that were applied in making the forward looking statements in this MD&A or referenced in this MD&A include, but are not limited to: statements regarding estimated mineral resources and the potential for delineation of additional resources through further exploration at the Malku Khota project, as well as statements regarding estimated net present value, internal rate of return, annual production, costs, prices and by product value; the accuracy of current interpretation of drill and other exploration results; and execution of the Company's existing plans or exploration programs for each of its properties, either of which may change due to changes in the views of the Company or if new information arises which makes it prudent to change such plans or programs.
Subject to applicable laws, the Company assumes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or any other reason. Unless otherwise indicated, forward-looking statements in this MD&A describe the Company's expectations as of June 13, 2011.
Reserve and Resource Estimates and the PEA
The material in this MD&A has been prepared in accordance with the requirements of the securities laws in effect in Canada, which differ from the requirements of U.S. securities laws. Unless otherwise indicated, all resource and reserve estimates included in this press release have been prepared in accordance with National Instrument 43-101 Standards of Disclosure for Mineral Projects ("NI 43-101”) and the Canadian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy Classification System. NI 43-101 is a rule developed by the Canadian Securities Administrators which establishes standards for all public disclosure an issuer makes of scientific and technical information concerning mineral projects. Canadian standards, including NI 43-101, differ significantly from the requirements of the United States Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC”), and resource and reserve information contained herein may not be comparable to similar information disclosed by U.S. companies. In particular, and without limiting the generality of the foregoing, the term "resource” does not equate to the term "reserves”. Investors should also understand that "inferred mineral resources” have a great amount of uncertainty as to their existence and great uncertainty as to their economic and legal feasibility. It cannot be assumed that all or any part of an "inferred mineral resource” will ever be upgraded to a higher category. The estimation of quantities of resources and reserves is complex, based on significant subjective assumptions and forward-looking information, including assumptions that arise from the evaluation of geological, geophysical, engineering and economic data for a given ore body. This data could change over time as a result of numerous factors, including new information gained from development activities, evolving production history and a reassessment of the viability of production under different economic conditions. Changes in data and/or assumptions could cause reserve estimates to substantially change from period to period. No assurance can be given that the indicated level of mineral will be produced. Actual production could differ from expected production and an adverse change in mineral prices could make a reserve uneconomic to mine. Variations could also occur in actual ore grades and recovery rates from estimates.
The PEA was prepared to broadly quantify the Malku Khota Project's capital and operating cost parameters and to provide guidance on the type and scale of future Project engineering and development work that will be needed to ultimately define the Project's likelihood of a positive feasibility determination and optimal production rate. It was not prepared to be used as a valuation of the Project nor should it be considered to be a final feasibility study on which a commercial production decision could be made. The capital and operating cost estimates which were used have been developed only to an approximate order of magnitude based on generally understood capital cost to production level relationships, and although they are based on engineering studies, these are preliminary so the ultimate costs may vary widely from the amounts set out in the PEA. This could materially adversely impact the projected economics of the Project. As is normal at this stage of a project, data in some areas was incomplete and estimates were developed based solely on the expertise of the Company's employees and consultants. At this level of engineering, the criteria, methods and estimates are preliminary and result in a high level of subjective judgment being employed. There can be no assurance that the potential results contained in the PEA will be realized.
Other Information
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